Macro

Hong Hao Predicts Bitcoin Cycle Window May Open in Q3-Q4

Renowned analyst Hong Hao predicts that the Bitcoin cycle window could open in Q3-Q4 this year, while the tech stock correction window may persist until the end of August. This assessment provides a macroeconomic perspective on Bitcoin's potential movements, influenced by broader market trends.

Friday, July 31, 2026BTC

Analyst Hong Hao predicts Bitcoin cycle window for Q3-Q4.

Tech stock correction window may persist until end of August.

Macroeconomic factors influence potential Bitcoin movements.

Story

Renowned analyst Hong Hao has offered an intriguing forecast for the Bitcoin market: he anticipates that the Bitcoin cycle window could open in the third or fourth quarter of this year. This assessment is complemented by his observation that the correction window for tech stocks may persist until the end of August. This perspective is significant for you, as it places a macroeconomic lens on Bitcoin's potential movements and highlights the interconnectedness of traditional markets and crypto. Historically, there has often been a correlation between the performance of technology stocks and riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. If the correction in the tech sector stabilizes or softens, it could free up capital that might then flow into other asset classes, including Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently trading at $64,051, with a slight gain of 0.60% over the last 24 hours but a 2.62% decline over the past 7 days. This sideways movement could reflect a period of accumulation or uncertainty as the market awaits clearer macroeconomic signals. Hong Hao's prediction provides a framework for anticipating future price action and underscores the need to consider not only crypto-specific data but also broader economic indicators to inform your market strategy.

Issue context

Today's crypto market presents a mixed picture of institutional growth and heightened security risks. While Coinbase bridges traditional finance with new derivatives, a significant BTC theft shakes confidence in hardware wallets. Simultaneously, we observe volatility in Ethereum and substantial liquidations in the Bitcoin futures market, indicating continued caution among market participants.

Today's news shows you that the market offers both opportunities through institutional integration and significant risks from security vulnerabilities and high leverage. Remain vigilant with your positions and always review your security measures, especially concerning self-custody. Volatility remains a constant companion.

Market pulse

BTC

$64.1K

+0.61% 24h / -2.62% 7d

Fear & Greed

28

Fear

BTC Spot ETFs

+$32M

Net flow · 2026-07-31

BTC Funding

+0.0080%

20 perp markets · OI $48.7B

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This story is part of the Biturai Market Brief and is for informational purposes only. No investment advice.