Macro

Upcoming US CPI Report to Influence Bitcoin's Direction

Bitcoin is trading around $74,800 as the market awaits the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Tuesday, November 10. This report is crucial for Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and could significantly influence Bitcoin's short-term price action.

Monday, November 9, 2026BTC
Issue cover: Crypto Markets Under Pressure: ETF Outflows and Macro Uncertainty Weigh on Bitcoin and Ethereum
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October CPI report on November 10 is a key event for Bitcoin.

The report is the last before the Fed's December meeting.

A 'hot' CPI could make a rate hike more likely and pressure Bitcoin.

A 'soft' CPI could reduce hike odds and support Bitcoin.

Story

Bitcoin is hovering around $74,800, with the upcoming October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Tuesday, November 10, at 8:30 a.m. ET, being a key event. This is the last CPI report before the Federal Reserve's December 8–9 meeting. Current forecasts suggest a headline rise of 0.2% to 0.3% and core CPI of about 0.2% month-on-month. A 'hot' core CPI (0.3% or more) could make a December Fed rate hike almost certain, potentially pushing Bitcoin to test the 200-day average near $73,200. Conversely, a 'soft' core CPI (0.1% to 0.2%) could reduce hike odds and lead to a Bitcoin rebound. Macroeconomic data, particularly inflation figures, continue to be a significant driver for Bitcoin's price action, linking it closely to traditional financial markets and interest rate expectations.

Issue context

Crypto markets are starting the week under significant pressure, as global uncertainties and waning investor risk appetite lead to a broad sell-off. Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen notable declines, accompanied by massive liquidations in the derivatives market and persistent outflows from spot ETFs. These developments reflect a cautious stance among institutional investors and contribute to a prevailing climate of fear, confirmed by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Upcoming US inflation data could further influence market direction, while the industry also faces internal challenges such as security vulnerabilities and regulatory uncertainty.

Current market conditions are characterized by heightened uncertainty and volatility. The combination of macroeconomic factors, ETF outflows, and liquidation events suggests an environment where rapid price movements are possible. Pay attention to upcoming economic data and remain aware of the risks associated with leveraged positions.

Market pulse

BTC

$75.8K

-0.2% 24h / -2.71% 7d

Fear & Greed

28

Fear

BTC Funding

+0.0083%

20 perp markets · Open Interest $53.6B

BTC Open Interest

$53.6B

24h volume $64.2B · basis +0.059%

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This story is part of the Biturai Market Brief and is for informational purposes only. No investment advice.